Validation study of prediction models of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma / 中华肝脏病杂志

<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To validate two previously published models (REACH-B score and CU-HCC score) for predicting the risk of developing hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).</p><p><b>METHODS</b>In-patients of the Liver Center of First Affiliated Hospital Fujian Medical University who tested positive for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg;more than 6 months) and were admitted for treatment between October 1,2004 and May 1,2014 were enrolled for study. The 627 study participants were grouped according to presence of HCC (151 in the HCC case group, and 476 in the non-HCC control group). Relevant clinical data from 3 and 5 years prior to the current hospital admission were collected retrospectively and assessed using the REACH-B and CU-HCC scoring systems. A subset of the study participants (65 HCC cases, and 94 non-HCC controls) was used for the verification analysis of prediction for 5-year risk of HBV-related HCC.T-test, rank sum test, chisquare test and the receiver operating characteristic curve were used for statistical analyses.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>For the REACH-B score,prediction of 3-year risk of developing HCC had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.78,a sensitivity of 73.00% and a specificity of 78.70%.In male patients with alanine aminotransferase (ALT) more than or equal to 45 U/L, the REACH-B score prediction of 3-year risk of developing HCC had an AUC of 0.89, a sensitivity of 87.09% and a specificity of 83.86%. The REACH-B score prediction of 5-year risk of HCC had an AUC of 0.79,a sensitivity of 73.60% and a specificity of 75.53%; the CU-HCC score prediction of 5-year risk of HCC had an AUC of 0.76, a sensitivity of 78.40% and a specificity of 77.40%.</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>Both the REACH-B and CUHCC scoring systems can be used for HCC prediction among patients at the First Affiliated Hospital Fujian Medical University. For male patients with ALT more than or equal to 45 U/L,the REACH-B score may be a more sensitive predictor for 3-year risk of developing HBV-related HCC.</p>

Relation between HBsAg levels during the immune clearance phase of hepatitis B virus infection and liver pathological stages of chronic hepatitis B / 中华肝脏病杂志

<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To investigate whether the level of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) represents the status of inflammation and stages of fibrosis in livers of patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) during the immune clearance phase (IC).</p><p><b>METHODS</b>Liver biopsy samples and sera were collected from 165 consecutive patients (136 males; 29 females) with CHB in IC who were treated in our hospital between March 2009 and June 2011. Routine biochemical tests were carried out to measure indicators of liver function. The relation between HBsAg level and liver pathological stages were determined by Spearman's rank correlation analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the diagnostic value of HBsAg level for liver pathological stages. Binary logistic regression was used to analyze potentially relevant indicators, and liver pathology-predicting models were built and analyzed by the ROC method.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>The mean values of HBsAg (IU/mL) were significantly different at the different liver inflammation stages: G1, 27 716.07+/-32 870.69; G2, 34 478.75+/-40 899.55; G3, 19 408.09+/-24 881.07; G4, 14 286.31+/-28 610.14. Likewise, the mean values of HBsAg (IU/mL) were significantly different at the different liver fibrosis stages: S1, 41 337.23+/-43 236.39; S2, 27 264.32+/-32 517.29; S3, 111 541.77+/-11 538.93; S4, 11 447.37+/-22215.44. Spearman's rank correlation analysis indicated a significant correlation between HBsAg level and liver inflammation stage (rs = -0.244) and fibrosis stage (rs = -0.365). ROC curve analysis of the diagnostic value of HBsAg for inflammation stages S more than or equal to 4 revealed that the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.70. The specificity of diagnosing S more than or equal to 4 was > 95.16% when HBsAg was less than or equal to 32995 IU/mL. Binary logistic regression analysis identified age, serum albumin, cholinesterase, and HBsAg as independent predictors of liver fibrosis.</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>HBsAg level is negatively correlated with liver inflammation and fibrosis stages for patients with CHB in the IC phase, and might represent a useful noninvasive marker of the degree of hepatic fibrosis.</p>

Relationship between the changes in immune cells and HBeAg loss following antiviral treatment in chronic hepatitis B patients / 中华肝脏病杂志

<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To observe the changes in hepatitis B virus (HBV)-specific and non-specific cellular immunity that accompany viral load decline during adefovir dipivoxil (ADV) treatment in patients with hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic hepatitis B, and to explore the antiviral immunity mechanism underlying the treatment response.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>Serial analysis of cellular immunological parameters was performed in HBeAg-positive patients (n = 20) throughout the 48-week course of ADV therapy (10 mg/d). HBV-specific T cell reactivity to HBV core antigen (HBcAg) was assessed by enzyme-linked immunosorbent spot assay and cell proliferation assay at pre-treatment (baseline) and post-treatment weeks 4, 12, 24, 36, and 48. Percentage of regulatory T cells (Tregs), as well as activated peripheral natural killer (NK) cells (expressing the NKG2D receptor), was measured by flow cytometry. Comparisons of means were performed by the two-tailed t-test or the Mann-Whitney rank sum test.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>After 48 weeks of ADV therapy, HBeAg loss was observed in six of the 20 (30%) patients and 14 patients remained HBeAg-positive. In the patients with HBeAg loss, the viral load reduction was accompanied by a significantly enhanced response rate of HBV-specific interferon (IFN)-gamma-producing CD4+ T cells [measured as (spot forming cells/peripheral blood mononuclear cells); baseline: (661.25+/-281.97) *10(-6) vs. week 48: (280.75+/-104.33) *10(-6), P = 0.045]. In contrast, patients without HBeAg loss showed no significant differences in T cell response rates. The patient groups with and without HBeAg loss showed similar proportions of peripheral blood Tregs during the treatment course, which included a trend of gradual decrease from baseline to week 4 with steady levels thereafter. In addition, both groups showed a similar increase in NKG2D expression that began at week 12 and peaked at week 48.</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>HBV-specific T cell reactivity temporally increases in some ADV-treated chronic hepatitis B patients, and this trend is strongly associated with HBeAg loss. Furthermore, recovery of HBV-specific T cell reactivity promotes viral clearance and HBeAg seroconversion.</p>

Serum HBV DNA level at week 24 as a proper predictor for the effect of 2-year lamivudine treatment / 中华医学杂志(英文版)

<p><b>BACKGROUND</b>Lamivudine is the first L-nucleoside analogue approved for the treatment of the patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) for over 10 years. The aim of this study was to evaluate the virologic responses at weeks 12 and 24 for the prediction of therapeutic effect and virologic breakthrough after 2 years of lamivudine treatment in the patients with CHB.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>A retrospective study was conducted with 255 hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) positive and 122 HBeAg-negative CHB patients treated with lamivudine (100 mg, daily) and duration of treatment was 6 to 72 months. The levels of serum hepatitis B virus (HBV)-DNA at weeks 12 and 24 were evaluated for the predictive value of therapeutic effect and drug resistance after 2 years of lamivudine treatment.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>HBeAg seroconversion was closely correlated with levels of serum HBV DNA at week 12 (P = 0.000, OR = 0.394) and 24 (P = 0.019, OR = 0.442), while virologic breakthrough was more correlated with baseline levels of serum HBV DNA (P = 0.019, OR = 1.484) and at week 12 (P = 0.049, OR = 1.398) and 24 (P = 0.012, OR = 2.025). At year 2, the virologic response at week 24 was more sensitive compared with week 12 when it was used to predict the efficacy and virologic breakthrough, but was less specific compared with those at week 12. There were no significant differences in terms of predicting positive and negative values of HBV DNA between week 12 and 24 for efficacy and drug resistance at year 2 in both HBeAg positive and HBeAg negative patients.</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>Level of serum HBV DNA at 24-week is a proper predictor for the therapeutic effect and virologic breakthrough at year 2 of lamivudine treatment.</p>